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The impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the connectedness of the BRICS's term structure.

Humanit Soc Sci Commun

January 2023

College of Business, Zayed University, United Arab Emirates South Ural State University, Lenin Prospect 76, Chelyabinsk, 454080 Russian Federation.

This study aims to examine the impact of the different waves of the COVID-19 pandemic on the connectedness of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) term structure of interest rates and its components (level, slope and curvature). For that purpose, this research applies the time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) approach in order to assess the direction of spillovers among countries and factors and measure their contribution to the connectedness system. Our results show that the total connectedness measure changes over time, and the level and curvature components show connectedness that persists longer than the slope component, both in the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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