Performance of multinomial designs in comparison with response-based designs in non-randomized phase II trials of targeted cancer agents.

Background: In phase II trials of cytotoxic agents, a multinomial phase II design incorporating early progression and response end points was shown to perform more efficiently than designs based only on response. We undertook a study to evaluate the performance of these designs in trials of targeted agents using the actual phase II data.

Patients And Methods: Using best response data from sequentially enrolled patients in 15 NCIC Clinical Trials Group and 7 European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer trials of targeted agents, we determined that trials would have been stopped at the end of stage I of accrual by applying rules generated by the multinomial and Fleming designs.