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The effect of green energy, global environmental indexes, and stock markets in predicting oil price crashes: Evidence from explainable machine learning.

J Environ Manage

November 2021

EDC Paris Business School, Observatory and Research Center on Entrepreneurship (OCRE), Department of Entrepreneurship and Digital Transformation, 70 galerie des Damiers - Paris La Défense 1, 92415 Courbevoie Cedex, France. Electronic address:

This study aims to predict oil prices during the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic by looking into green energy resources, global environmental indexes (ESG), and stock markets. The study employs advanced machine learning, such as the LightGBM, CatBoost, XGBoost, Random Forest (RF), and neural network models. An accurate forecasting framework can effectively capture the trend of the changes in oil prices and reduce the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on such prices.

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