169 results match your criteria: "Institute for Scientific Interchange[Affiliation]"

Article Synopsis
  • Symptom-only definitions for COVID-like illnesses fail to differentiate between COVID-19, influenza, and other respiratory infections due to overlapping symptoms.
  • A new statistical method was developed to attribute cases of acute respiratory infections (ARI) to either influenza or SARS-CoV-2 without relying solely on symptom definitions, using data from the Netherlands in early 2022.
  • The model estimated that during the analysis period, 35.4% of ARI cases were attributable to influenza and 27.0% to SARS-CoV-2, highlighting its potential for use in other countries with similar surveillance systems.
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The epidemiological relevance of viral acute respiratory infections (ARIs) has been dramatically highlighted by COVID-19. However, other viruses cannot be neglected, such as influenza virus, respiratory syncytial virus, human adenovirus. These viruses thrive in closed spaces, influenced by human and environmental factors.

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A multiscale modeling framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the US.

Epidemics

June 2024

Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Network Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA; Institute for Scientific Interchange Foundation, Turin, Italy. Electronic address:

Article Synopsis
  • The Scenario Modeling Hub (SMH) initiative uses a multi-model approach to predict epidemic scenarios in the US, including a new multiscale model that incorporates county-level data for detailed projections of COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths.
  • The LEAM-US model divides the US into 3142 counties and integrates factors like vaccination, mobility, and interventions, allowing for an in-depth understanding of COVID-19's impact across states.
  • The study also highlights the emergence and spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant, revealing significant spatial and temporal variations and illustrating how the multiscale model can effectively capture the pandemic's complexity.
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Participatory surveillance (PS) has been defined as the bidirectional process of transmitting and receiving data for action by directly engaging the target population. Often represented as self-reported symptoms directly from the public, PS can provide evidence of an emerging disease or concentration of symptoms in certain areas, potentially identifying signs of an early outbreak. The construction of sets of symptoms to represent various disease syndromes provides a mechanism for the early detection of multiple health threats.

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Background: Antivaccination views pervade online social media, fueling distrust in scientific expertise and increasing the number of vaccine-hesitant individuals. Although previous studies focused on specific countries, the COVID-19 pandemic has brought the vaccination discourse worldwide, underpinning the need to tackle low-credible information flows on a global scale to design effective countermeasures.

Objective: This study aimed to quantify cross-border misinformation flows among users exposed to antivaccination (no-vax) content and the effects of content moderation on vaccine-related misinformation.

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Conflicts cause immense human suffering, violate human rights, and affect people's stability. Colombia is affected for decades by a high level of armed conflicts and violence. The political and socio-economic situation, drug trafficking in the Colombian economy, and natural disasters events affect the country and foster general violence.

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Article Synopsis
  • Sheep have diverse social connections that affect the spread of footrot, a significant infectious disease in sheep, particularly transmitted through contaminated surfaces.
  • High-resolution sensors were used on 40 ewes and 54 lambs in a flock with chronic footrot to assess locomotion and identify cases of lameness over 13 days.
  • Results showed that both family interactions and individual behaviors influenced the transmission of lameness, with single lambs showing higher lameness rates than twins, while most contact occurred within families rather than across the flock.
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Ending poverty in all its forms everywhere is the number one Sustainable Development Goal of the UN 2030 Agenda. To monitor the progress toward such an ambitious target, reliable, up-to-date and fine-grained measurements of socioeconomic indicators are necessary. When it comes to socioeconomic development, novel digital traces can provide a complementary data source to overcome the limits of traditional data collection methods, which are often not regularly updated and lack adequate spatial resolution.

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Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific modeling community and both the general public and decision-makers. Forecasting models provide specific, quantitative, and evaluable predictions that inform short-term decisions such as healthcare staffing needs, school closures, and allocation of medical supplies. Starting in April 2020, the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub (https://covid19forecasthub.

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SARS-CoV-2 has clearly shown that efficient management of infectious diseases requires a top-down approach which must be complemented with a bottom-up response to be effective. Here we investigate a novel approach to surveillance for transboundary animal diseases using African Swine (ASF) fever as a model. We collected data both at a population level and at the local level on information-seeking behavior respectively through digital data and targeted questionnaire-based surveys to relevant stakeholders such as pig farmers and veterinary authorities.

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Developmental Effects of Oxytocin Neurons on Social Affiliation and Processing of Social Information.

J Neurosci

October 2021

Integrative Behavioural Biology Lab, Instituto Gulbenkian de Ciência, Oeiras 2780-156, Portugal

Hormones regulate behavior either through activational effects that facilitate the acute expression of specific behaviors or through organizational effects that shape the development of the nervous system thereby altering adult behavior. Much research has implicated the neuropeptide oxytocin (OXT) in acute modulation of various aspects of social behaviors across vertebrate species, and OXT signaling is associated with the developmental social deficits observed in autism spectrum disorders (ASDs); however, little is known about the role of OXT in the neurodevelopment of the social brain. We show that perturbation of OXT neurons during early zebrafish development led to a loss of dopaminergic neurons, associated with visual processing and reward, and blunted the neuronal response to social stimuli in the adult brain.

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During the first wave of the severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 epidemic in the Netherlands, notifications consisted mostly of patients with relatively severe disease. To enable real-time monitoring of the incidence of mild coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) - for which medical consultation might not be required - the Infectieradar web-based syndromic surveillance system was launched in mid-March 2020. Our aim was to quantify associations between Infectieradar participant characteristics and the incidence of self-reported COVID-19-like illness.

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Social media may limit the exposure to diverse perspectives and favor the formation of groups of like-minded users framing and reinforcing a shared narrative, that is, echo chambers. However, the interaction paradigms among users and feed algorithms greatly vary across social media platforms. This paper explores the key differences between the main social media platforms and how they are likely to influence information spreading and echo chambers' formation.

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Risk of Secondary Infection Waves of COVID-19 in an Insular Region: The Case of the Balearic Islands, Spain.

Front Med (Lausanne)

December 2020

Instituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Palma, Spain.

The Spanish government declared the lockdown on March 14th, 2020 to tackle the fast-spreading of COVID-19. As a consequence, the Balearic Islands remained almost fully isolated due to the closing of airports and ports, these isolation measures and the home-based confinement have led to a low prevalence of COVID-19 in this region. We propose a compartmental model for the spread of COVID-19 including five compartments (Susceptible, Exposed, Presymptomatic Infective, Diseased, and Recovered), and the mobility between municipalities.

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While severe social-distancing measures have proven effective in slowing the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, second-wave scenarios are likely to emerge as restrictions are lifted. Here we integrate anonymized, geolocalized mobility data with census and demographic data to build a detailed agent-based model of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission in the Boston metropolitan area. We find that a period of strict social distancing followed by a robust level of testing, contact-tracing and household quarantine could keep the disease within the capacity of the healthcare system while enabling the reopening of economic activities.

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Implemented in Switzerland in November 2016, Grippenet provides Internet-based participatory surveillance of influenza-like illness (ILI). The aim of this research is to test the feasibility of such a system and its ability to detect risk factors and to assess ILI-related behaviors. Participants filled in a web-based socio-demographic and behavioral questionnaire upon registration, and a weekly symptoms survey during the influenza season.

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The new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has required the implementation of severe mobility restrictions and social distancing measures worldwide. While these measures have been proven effective in abating the epidemic in several countries, it is important to estimate the effectiveness of testing and tracing strategies to avoid a potential second wave of the COVID-19 epidemic. We integrate highly detailed (anonymized, privacy-enhanced) mobility data from mobile devices, with census and demographic data to build a detailed agent-based model to describe the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in the Boston metropolitan area.

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Article Synopsis
  • Dog-transmitted rabies accounts for over 98% of human cases globally, especially affecting developing countries where vaccination efforts often leave gaps.
  • A study conducted in the Central African Republic used a metapopulation model to analyze rabies spread, revealing that long-range dog movements are crucial for ongoing outbreaks, despite initial assumptions that nearby areas could independently sustain the epidemic.
  • The research indicates that controlling long-distance travel of dogs could significantly reduce rabies persistence, with potential applications in other regions facing similar challenges.
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Epidemic spreading with awareness and different timescales in multiplex networks.

Phys Rev E

September 2019

Instituto de Ciências Matemáticas e de Computação, Universidade de São Paulo, São Carlos, SP 13566-590, Brazil.

One of the major issues in theoretical modeling of epidemic spreading is the development of methods to control the transmission of an infectious agent. Human behavior plays a fundamental role in the spreading dynamics and can be used to stop a disease from spreading or to reduce its burden, as individuals aware of the presence of a disease can take measures to reduce their exposure to contagion. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model for the spread of diseases with awareness in complex networks.

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Social contact patterns shape the transmission of respiratory infections spread via close interactions. There is a paucity of observational data from schools and households, particularly in developing countries. Portable wireless sensors can record unbiased proximity events between individuals facing each other, shedding light on pathways of infection transmission.

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Contact patterns strongly influence the dynamics of disease transmission in both human and non-human animal populations. Domestic dogs Canis familiaris are a social species and are a reservoir for several zoonotic infections, yet few studies have empirically determined contact patterns within dog populations. Using high-resolution proximity logging technology, we characterised the contact networks of free-ranging domestic dogs from two settlements (n = 108 dogs, covering >80% of the population in each settlement) in rural Chad.

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We conducted a systematic review to describe the frequency of mild, atypical, and asymptomatic infection among household contacts of pertussis cases and to explore the published literature for evidence of asymptomatic transmission. We included studies that obtained and tested laboratory specimens from household contacts regardless of symptom presentation and reported the proportion of cases with typical, mild/atypical, or asymptomatic infection. After screening 6789 articles, we included 26 studies.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study examines how extrinsic and intrinsic factors contribute to running-related injuries, focusing on kinematic differences between higher- and lower-mileage runners.
  • Participants were divided into higher-mileage (≥32 km/week) and lower-mileage (≤25 km/week) groups, with 3D kinematic data collected during running.
  • The results showed high accuracy in classifying runners by mileage (92.59% overall, 89.83% for females, and 100% for males), indicating that mileage and gender significantly influence running biomechanics.
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Article Synopsis
  • - The increasing frequency of mass casualty incidents (MCIs) calls for effective training and preparedness of healthcare staff, necessitating the use of simulations to mirror real disaster conditions for data collection and analysis.
  • - This study evaluates the practicality of using wearable proximity sensors to gather spatial and temporal information on the interactions during MCI exercises, aiming to enhance future training and patient flow analysis in hospitals.
  • - Data collected from an MCI simulation involving 238 participants revealed varying proximity contact patterns among different roles, highlighting the diverse interactions and potential areas for improvement in emergency response.
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