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Dengue in Tomorrow: Predictive Insights From ARIMA and SARIMA Models in Bangladesh: A Time Series Analysis.
Health Sci Rep
December 2024
Backgrounds And Aims: Dengue fever has been a continued public health problem in Bangladesh, with a recent surge in cases. The aim of this study was to train ARIMA and SARIMA models for time series analysis on the monthly prevalence of dengue in Bangladesh and to use these models to forecast the dengue prevalence for the next 12 months.
Methods: This secondary data-based study utilizes AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models to forecast dengue prevalence in Bangladesh.