273 results match your criteria: "Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research[Affiliation]"

Earth's obliquity and eccentricity cycles are strongly imprinted on Earth's climate and widely used to measure geological time. However, the record of these imprints on the oxygen isotope record in deep-sea benthic foraminifera (δO) shows contradictory signals that violate isotopic principles and cause controversy over climate-ice sheet interactions. Here, we present a δO record of high fidelity from International Ocean Drilling Program (IODP) Site U1406 in the northwest Atlantic Ocean.

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Global climate-driven sea surface temperature and chlorophyll dynamics.

Mar Environ Res

November 2024

School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Centre for Marine Science, Deakin University, Geelong, Vic., 3220, Australia; Australian Institute of Marine Science (AIMS) and UWA Oceans Institute, The University of Western Australia, MO96, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA, 6009, Australia.

Herein we study long-term changes in global sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a concentration (CHL) in order to evaluate possible effects of climate change on the global marine ecosystems. Our approach is to analyze multi-model ensemble-means from global numerical-simulations available through the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). A 250-year span consisting of the 1850-2014 historical period and the 2015-2099 climate-change projection was considered, where the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) 2.

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The coastal circulation around Southern Greenland transports fresh, buoyant water masses from the Arctic and Greenland Ice Sheet near regions of convection, sinking, and deep-water formation in the Irminger and Labrador Seas. Here, we track the pathways and fate of these fresh water masses by initializing synthetic particles in the East Greenland Coastal Current on the Southeast Greenland shelf and running them through altimetry-derived surface currents from 1993 to 2021. We report that the majority of waters (83%) remain on the shelf around the southern tip of Greenland.

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Coastal lake sediments from Arctic Svalbard suggest colder summers are stormier.

Nat Commun

November 2024

Alfred Jahn Cold Regions Research Centre, Institute of Geography and Regional Development, University of Wrocław, Wroclaw, Poland.

The Arctic is rapidly losing its sea ice cover while the region warms faster than anywhere else on Earth. As larger areas become ice-free for longer, winds strengthen and interact more with open waters. Ensuing higher waves also increase coastal erosion and flooding, threatening communities and releasing permafrost carbon.

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Warm Arctic-Cold Eurasia pattern helps predict spring wildfire burned area in West Siberia.

Nat Commun

October 2024

Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education / Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China.

Extreme wildfires have devastating impacts on multiple fronts, and associated carbon greatly heats the earth's climate. Whether and how to predict wildfires becomes a critical question. In this study, we find that the preceding-winter "warm Arctic-cold Eurasia" (WACE) pattern significantly enlarges the spring burned area in West Siberia.

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A solution for constraining past marine Polar Amplification.

Nat Commun

October 2024

MARUM - Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany.

Most climate proxies of sea surface temperatures suffer from severe limitations when applied to cold temperatures that characterize Arctic environments. These limitations prevent us from constraining uncertainties for some of the most sensitive climate tipping points that can trigger rapid and dramatic global climate change such as Arctic/Polar Amplification, the disruption of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, sea ice loss, and permafrost melting. Here, we present an approach to reconstructing sea surface temperatures globally using paired Mg/Ca - δO recorded in tests of the polar to subpolar planktonic foraminifera Neogloboquadrina pachyderma.

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Ten simple rules to bridge ecology and palaeoecology by publishing outside palaeoecological journals.

PLoS Comput Biol

October 2024

Intituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México, Mexico.

Owing to its specialised methodology, palaeoecology is often regarded as a separate field from ecology, even though it is essential for understanding long-term ecological processes that have shaped the ecosystems that ecologists study and manage. Despite advances in ecological modelling, sample dating, and proxy-based reconstructions facilitating direct comparison of palaeoecological data with neo-ecological data, most of the scientific knowledge derived from palaeoecological studies remains siloed. We surveyed a group of palaeo-researchers with experience in crossing the divide between palaeoecology and neo-ecology, to develop Ten Simple Rules for publishing your palaeoecological research in non-palaeo journals.

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Paleoclimate model simulations provide reference data to help interpret the geological record and offer a unique opportunity to evaluate the performance of current models under diverse boundary conditions. Here, we present a dataset of 35 climate model simulations of the warm early Eocene Climatic Optimum (EECO; ~ 50 million years ago) and corresponding preindustrial reference experiments. To streamline the use of the data, we apply standardised naming conventions and quality checks across eight modelling groups that have carried out coordinated simulations as part of the Deep-Time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP).

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Environmental DNA (eDNA) preserved in marine sediments is increasingly being used to study past ecosystems. However, little is known about how accurately marine biodiversity is recorded in sediment eDNA archives, especially planktonic taxa. Here, we address this question by comparing eukaryotic diversity in 273 eDNA samples from three water depths and the surface sediments of 24 stations in the Nordic Seas.

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Extreme weather events, such as those associated with winds and precipitation, result in billions of euros in damages annually. While changes in extreme precipitation due to global warming have already been detected at sub-continental scales, their complex characteristics make them a challenges to asses at more regional scales. Extreme winds present an even greater challenge as the varying dynamical response to global warming exhibits high levels of uncertainty.

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Spatio-temporal assessment of phylogenetic diversity gradients during the Holocene (past 12,000 years) provides an opportunity for a deeper understanding of the dynamics of species co-occurrence patterns under environmental fluctuations. Using two robust metrics of phylogenetic dispersion (PD) and 99 fossil pollen sequences containing 6557 samples/assemblages, we analyse spatio-temporal variation in PD of angiosperms and its relationship with Holocene climate in central Asia. Overall, PD throughout the Holocene decreases linearly with increasing latitude, except for a rise in mean nearest taxon distance from ca.

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The Island Mass Effect (IME) around the Maldives is responsible for intense blooms with distinct seasonal patterns. These blooms sustain the fishing industry of the archipelagic nation, a vital source of income that occupies about 30% of the population. Through high resolution ocean simulations, we explore the physical processes responsible for the increased productivity and its observed variability, and their sensitivity to changes in land distribution.

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Benguela Niños are extreme warm events that typically occur during the main downwelling season (austral fall) in the tropical Angolan upwelling system when the biological productivity is low. However, the extreme warm event that occurred between April and August 2021 stands out due to its late timing. It occurred and peaked during the main upwelling season in austral winter with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding 2 °C in the Angola-Benguela area in June 2021.

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Seagrass meadows are one of the world's most diverse ecosystems offering habitats for an extensive array of species, as well as serving as protectors of coral reefs and vital carbon sinks. Furthermore, they modify hydrodynamics by diminishing water flow velocities and enhancing sediment deposition, indicating the potential for microplastic accumulation in their sediments. The build-up of microplastics could potentially have ecological impacts threatening to ecosystems, however little is known about microplastic abundance and controlling factors in seagrass sediments.

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Climate change is recognised to lead to spatial shifts in the distribution of small pelagic fish, likely by altering their environmental optima. Fish supply along the Northwest African coast is significant at both socio-economic and cultural levels. Evaluating the impacts of climatic change on small pelagic fish is a challenge and of serious concern in the context of shared stock management.

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The breakdown of plant material fuels soil functioning and biodiversity. Currently, process understanding of global decomposition patterns and the drivers of such patterns are hampered by the lack of coherent large-scale datasets. We buried 36,000 individual litterbags (tea bags) worldwide and found an overall negative correlation between initial mass-loss rates and stabilization factors of plant-derived carbon, using the Tea Bag Index (TBI).

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Tropical Small Island Developing States (SIDS), such as those in the Caribbean, are among the most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, most notably sea-level rise. The current sea-level rise in the Caribbean is 3.40 ± 0.

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The isolation of specific grain size classes of lithogenic samples and biogenic carbonate from the <63 µm fraction (i.e. clay and silt) of marine sediment is often a prerequisite to further pre-treatments and/or analytical measurements for palaeoceanographic studies.

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Environmental drivers of increased ecosystem respiration in a warming tundra.

Nature

May 2024

Climate Impacts Research Centre, Department of Ecology and Environmental Science, Umeå University, Abisko, Sweden.

Arctic and alpine tundra ecosystems are large reservoirs of organic carbon. Climate warming may stimulate ecosystem respiration and release carbon into the atmosphere. The magnitude and persistency of this stimulation and the environmental mechanisms that drive its variation remain uncertain.

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The 8200-year BP cooling event is reconstructed in part from sediments in the Norwegian and North Seas. Here we show that these sediments have been reworked by the Storegga tsunami - dated to the coldest decades of the 8.2 ka event.

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Paleo-archives are essential for our understanding of species responses to climate warming, yet such archives are extremely rare in the Arctic. Here, we combine morphological analyses and bulk-bone metabarcoding to investigate a unique chronology of bone deposits sealed in the high-latitude Storsteinhola cave system (68°50' N 16°22' E) in Norway. This deposit dates to a period of climate warming from the end of the Late Glacial [~13 thousand calibrated years before the present (ka cal B.

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Sustainability of African weather and climate information can only be ensured by investing in improved scientific understanding, observational data, and model capability. These requirements must be underpinned by capacity development, knowledge management; and partnerships of co-production, communication and coordination.

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The microbial diversity associated with terrestrial groundwater seepage through permafrost soils is tightly coupled to the geochemistry of these fluids. Terrestrial alkaline methane seeps from Lagoon Pingo, Central Spitsbergen (78°N) in Norway, with methane-saturated and oxygen-limited groundwater discharge providing a potential habitat for methanotrophy. Here, we report on the microbial community's comparative analyses and distribution patterns at two sites close to Lagoon Pingo's methane emission source.

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Article Synopsis
  • Alpine grasslands are crucial for biodiversity but face threats from climate change and environmental shifts, prompting research into how vegetation reacts to these changes for better ecosystem understanding.* -
  • Researchers studied plant traits in Puna grasslands in the Peruvian Andes across 1314 meters in elevation, gathering data on plant composition, biomass, climate, and more over three years.* -
  • The study resulted in a comprehensive dataset with 3,665 plant records and 54,036 trait measurements, significantly enhancing existing knowledge of local flora by 420% and including many previously undocumented plant traits.*
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