Multicriteria decision analysis for determining drug therapy for intermittent claudication.

Drugs of various classes are prescribed for intermittent claudication. However, there is some discrepancy between medical practice and the scientific basis for drug selection. We have developed a quantitative criteria-based decision analysis to evaluate all implications of drug treatment choices for intermittent claudication. Pentoxifylline, buflomedil, naftidrofuryl and ticlopidine were the drugs selected for analysis. The evaluation criteria were 1) therapeutic efficacy, 2) safety, 3) patient acceptance and 4) cost. A review panel of experts determined the relative importance of each criterion by assigning points (or utility values) to each one. The points were 48, 20, 14 and 18, respectively, for criteria 1, 2, 3 and 4. A probability value, or numerical estimate of how well a drug meets a criterion, was assigned to each drug for each of the 4 criteria. The probability value was multiplied by the utility value to determine the score for each drug and criterion. The criteria points for each drug were added for a total score for the drug. The drug with the highest overall score was pentoxifylline, with 69 points out of an ideal score of 100. The rank order for the other drugs was buflomedil, ticlopidine and naftidrofuryl. A sensitive analysis showed that the relative ranking of the drugs remained unchanged over a series of data modifications.