Predictive value of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay-detected IgG anti-HLA antibodies for pediatric renal allograft rejection.

Background: Measurement of panel-reactive antibody (PRA) with an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay using soluble HLA class I molecules (PRA-STAT) in adult renal transplant recipients predicted graft loss and rejection. We sought to confirm this finding in pediatric recipients, an immunologically distinct group.

Methods: The population consisted of 158 renal transplants in 146 patients (age range, 1-21 years). PRA was determined with PRA-STAT and microlymphocytotoxicity (CDC), using final cross-match sera. An elevated test was defined as > or =5% reactivity. Statistical analysis for rejection used the chi-square test and for graft survival used the log-rank test.

Results: Thirty-five patients (22%) had %PRA-STAT > or =5%, compared with 26 (16%) with %PRA-CDC > or =5%. The percentage with elevated %PRA-STAT was found to correlate with subsequent transplantations (first, 15%; second, 67%; third, 75%). Subsequent analyses utilized only the 136 primary recipients, of whom 20 (15%) had %PRA-STAT > or =5% and 16 (12%) had %PRA-CDC > or =5%. Elevated %PRA-STAT correlated with rejection at 3 months (65% vs. 36%), 12 months (84% vs. 50%), and 24 months (84% vs. 54%) (P<0.05). No association was found between elevated %PRA-CDC and rejection. Patients with %PRA-STAT > or =5% vs. %PRA-STAT <5% had graft survival at 1 year of 89% vs. 84%, at 2 years of 88% vs. 77%, and at 3 years of 61% vs. 72% (not significant).

Conclusions: Use of %PRA-STAT > or =5% identifies pediatric recipients who are at increased risk for rejection and may benefit from more potent immunosuppression and/or closer monitoring of graft function.