Arterial emboli of the lower limbs: analysis of risk factors for mortality and amputation. Association Universitaire de Recherche en Chirurgie.

To evaluate risk factors for mortality and amputation after arterial embolism of the lower limbs, we reviewed the records of 397 patients (201 men [mean age 69 +/- 14 years] and 196 women [mean age 79 +/- 12 years]) who were enrolled in a prospective study. The degree of ischemia was rated as follows: grade I in 26% of patients, grade II in 46%, and grade III in 27%. Among patients with complete obstruction, the emboli were located above the inguinal ligament in 213 limbs (46%), in the superficial or popliteal artery in 196 (43%), and at the infrapopliteal level in four (3%). The emboli were bilateral in 59 cases (15%). In 11% of patients the emboli also involved either an upper limb or a visceral or cerebral artery. The origin of the embolus was the heart in 55% of patients, an artery in 12%, and was unknown in the remaining cases. Two hundred two patients (50%) had arterial fibrillation, 33 (8%) had cardiac conduction abnormalities, 186 (47%) had ischemic heart disease, 55 (14%) had valvular heart disease, and 43 (11%) had cardiac insufficiency. The in-hospital mortality rate was 15% (n = 60) and major amputations or severe ischemic sequelae were observed in 23% (n = 91). Logistic regression analysis revealed four independent preoperative factors associated with a significantly higher risk of death: associated visceral emboli with a relative risk (RR) of 6.7 (p < 0.001), invalidism with an RR of 4.3 (p < 0.001), cardiac insufficiency with an RR of 2.4 (p = 0.001), and creatinemia > 180 ml/L with an RR of 2.1 (p = 0.01). The variables associated with an increased risk of amputation were invalidism (p = 0.001), severity of ischemia (p = 0.001), infrapopliteal location of the embolus (p = 0.001), delay of more than 12 hours before treatment of severe ischemia was initiated (p = 0.01), failure to restore arterial patency (p = 0.001), and postoperative cardiac complications (p = 0.01).