The records of 555 patients who underwent elective abdominal aortic reconstruction were analysed to identify risk factors predisposing to cardiac complications. Perioperative myocardial infarction occurred in 35 patients (6.3 per cent), of whom 12 (2.2 per cent) died. Using multiple logistic regression, four preoperative factors that were independently predictive for postoperative myocardial infarction were identified with the following relative risk ratios: history of transient ischaemic attacks, 5.08; raised serum creatinine level, 3.66; age > 60 years, 3.00; and angina requiring regular treatment, 2.74. A scoring system using these four factors was devised that identified 150 of the 555 patients as at high risk, and included 69 per cent of those with myocardial infarction after operation and 83 per cent of those who died. A clinical risk score is a practical first step in identifying patients at risk of myocardial infarction; it would also reduce the number of patients for whom sophisticated tests of cardiac function were necessary.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/bjs.1800800110 | DOI Listing |
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