A 90,000-Da molecular mass tumor-associated protein has recently been identified in the sera of patients infected by HIV. In this study, we have evaluated the serum levels of 90K for its ability to predict the progression to ARC or AIDS retrospectively in 49 HIV-seropositive subjects who were initially symptom-free. 90K levels were higher in those HIV-seropositive subjects who progressed to ARC or AIDS than in those who had not progressed both at entry into the study and at the latest visit. CD4+ cell number was not different in the two groups at entry but was lower in the progressors at the latest visit. Evaluation of the patterns of change over time showed that 90K increased and CD4+ cells decreased more in progressors than in nonprogressors. During the 3 years preceding the onset of ARC or AIDS, 90K increased regularly while CD4+ cell decrease was later. Elevated levels of 90K (p = 0.007) and lower numbers of CD4+ cells (p = 0.001) were significantly associated with a higher cumulative incidence of ARC or AIDS. These findings suggest that 90K is an early indicator of progression to ARC and AIDS.

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