There is evidence that patients with signs of poor left ventricular function or marked ischemia at low work load during an exercise test have a poor prognosis for survival. To determine whether a pacing test can provide similar information, the 6-yr survival rate was computed in 118 medically-treated patients who had undergone a standardized atrial pacing test. Among the 118 patients, 80 had significant coronary artery disease (CAD). The variables measured for the atrial pacing test were: induced angina, myocardial lactate extraction (MLE), maximal heart rate (MHR) and left ventricular end-diastolic pressure (LVEDP) changes. There was no death in 38 patients without significant CAD. The 6-yr survival rate of the 80 patients with CAD was 84 +/- 4% (+/- SEM). Of all the variables, the combinations of MHR less than or equal to 150 beats min-1 during pacing associated with a LVEDP increase greater than or equal to 5 mmHg immediately after pacing or with MLE less than or equal to 0% during pacing constituted the best predictors. Patients with a MHR less than or equal to 150 beats min-1 and a LVEDP increase greater than or equal to 5 mmHg had a 6-yr survival of 56 +/- 12% in comparison to 92 +/- 3% for the remaining patients (P less than 0.001). Patients with a MHR less than or equal to 150 beats min-1 and MLE less than or equal to 0% during pacing had a 6-yr survival of 64 +/- 11% in comparison to 91 +/- 4% for the remaining patients (P less than 0.01).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

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