Evidence for size-based predation risk during Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) smolt migration.

Hatchery supplementation is frequently employed during the conservation and recovery of imperilled salmon populations. At the smolt stage, hatchery rearing practices often produce individuals that are larger than wild conspecifics. Under this 'bigger is better' strategy, it is assumed that larger fish are less susceptible to predation during migration. We tested this hypothesis on hatchery-reared Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) smolts with fork lengths representative of those of natural and hatchery origins, allowing us to isolate the influence of size from rearing history. From May to June 2023 we characterized predation risk for acoustic-tagged (n = 50) and tethered (n = 192) smolts of various sizes through a mostly free-flowing section of the Penobscot River, Maine, USA. Across both methods, more than 50% of smolts were predated, with the majority of predation events being attributed to smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu). Tethered smolts of all sizes experienced similar predation risk. In the acoustic telemetry component of this study, smaller, wild-sized smolts incurred greater overall mortality relative to standard hatchery sizes (95% vs. 75%), the majority of which occurred within 3 km of the release site. Collectively, these results allude to a strong predation influence imposed by smallmouth bass on smolts in freshwater sections of the Penobscot River and small-bodied migrants may incur greater predation risk, particularly near stocking sites.