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[The value of sequential organ failure assessment and its dynamic changes in predicting mortality in hematology intensive care unit]. | LitMetric

[The value of sequential organ failure assessment and its dynamic changes in predicting mortality in hematology intensive care unit].

Zhonghua Xue Ye Xue Za Zhi

State Key Laboratory of Blood and Health, National Clinical Research Center for Blood Diseases, Haihe Laboratory of Cell Ecosystem, Institute of Hematology & Blood Diseases Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Tianjin 300020, China Tianjin Institutes of Health Science, Tianjin 301600, China.

Published: January 2025

To investigate the value of Sequential Organ Failure (SOFA) score and its dynamics (ΔSOFA) in predicting mortality in hematology care unit (HCU) . A retrospective clinical study was conducted on 79 critically ill hematologic patients admitted to the Center for Critical Care Medicine, Institute of Hematology & Blood Diseases Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, between May and June 2024. SOFA scores and ΔSOFA were calculated within 2 days before and after HCU admission. The predictive value of SOFA and ΔSOFA in mortality was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Among the 79 patients, the HCU mortality rate was 54.4%. The SOFA scores on days 1-3 (D1, D2, and D3) and ΔSOFA on day 1 (ΔD_1) of all patients, leukemia patients and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) patients were significantly higher in the death group compared with the non-death group (all <0.05). ROC curve analysis revealed that the D_1, D_2, D_3 scores, and ΔD_1 significantly predicted mortality (<0.001), with areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.786, 0.866, 0.901, and 0.843, respectively. The sensitivity values were 74.36%, 57.89%, 62.85%, and 86.84%, while specificity values were 70%, 100%, 100%, and 67.65%, respectively. In the HSCT group, the D_-1, D_1, D_2, D_ 3, scores and ΔD_1 were predictive of HCU mortality, with AUCs of 0.833, 0.794, 0.871, 0.846, and 0.795, respectively. Sensitivity values for these scores were 100%, 85.71%, 71.43%, 57.14%, and 57.14%, while specificity values were 73.33%, 70.59%, 91.33%, 100%, and 100%, respectively. In the leukemia group, the D_1, D_2, D_3 scores, and ΔD_1 were predictive of HCU mortality, with AUCs of 0.760, 0.829, 0.846, and 0.756, respectively. Sensitivity values were 71.43%, 78.57%, 53.85%, and 71.43%, while specificity values were 76.19%, 78.95%, 100%, and 63.16%, respectively. For all patients, the D_3 score exhibited the highest specificity, while the ΔD_1 demonstrated the highest sensitivity. For patients in both the HSCT and leukemia groups, the sensitivity and specificity values of the D_1 and D_3 scores exceeded those of the ΔD_1. For patients with hematologic critical illness, including leukemia and those undergoing HSCT hospitalized in the HCU, D_1, D_2, D_ 3 scores and ΔD_1 are significantly associated with HCU mortality.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.3760/cma.j.cn121090-20241130-00510DOI Listing

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