Multiple features of cell-free mtDNA for predicting transarterial chemoembolization response in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the primary treatment modality for advanced HCC, yet its efficacy assessment and prognosis prediction largely depend on imaging and serological markers that possess inherent limitations in terms of real-time capability, sensitivity, and specificity. Here, we explored whether multiple features of cell-free mitochondrial DNA (cf-mtDNA), including copy number, mutations, and fragmentomics, could be used to predict the response and prognosis of patients with HCC undergoing TACE treatment.

Methods: A total of 60 plasma cell-free DNA samples were collected from 30 patients with HCC before and after the first TACE treatment and then subjected to capture-based mtDNA sequencing and whole-genome sequencing.

Results: Comprehensive analyses revealed a clear association between cf-mtDNA multiple features and tumor characteristics. Based on cf-mtDNA multiple features, we also developed HCC death and progression risk prediction models. Kaplan-Meier curve analyses revealed that the high-death risk or high-progression-risk group had significantly shorter median overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival than the low-death risk or low-progression-risk group (all p<0.05). Moreover, the change in cf-mtDNA multiple features before and after TACE treatment exhibited an exceptional ability to predict the risk of death and progression in patients with HCC (log-rank test, all p<0.01; HRs: 0.36 and 0.33, respectively). Furthermore, we observed the consistency of change between the cf-mtDNA multiple features and copy number variant burden before and after TACE treatment in 40.00% (12/30) patients with HCC.

Conclusions: Altogether, we developed a novel strategy based on profiling of cf-mtDNA multiple features for prognosis prediction and efficacy evaluation in patients with HCC undergoing TACE treatment.