A Political Economy Analysis of Health Policymaking in Nigeria: The Genesis of the 2014 National Health Act.

This article explores the ideologies, interests, and institutions affecting health policymaking in Nigeria, and the role of the private sector therein. It covers the period from the late-1950s, the years leading up to independence, to 2014, when the country enacted its first-ever law to govern its healthcare system. The National Health Act (NHAct) was adopted after a decade of preparation and civil society-driven advocacy, making the objective of Universal Health Coverage (UHC) explicit. However, in its final version, the NHAct earmarked only a small share of public funds for UHC, solidifying the country's reliance on private healthcare and out-of-pocket payments. To examine the specific set of ideologies, interests, and institutions defining Nigeria's pathway toward UHC and the contribution of the private sector, we adopted Rizvi and colleagues' political economy framework, situating the genesis of the 2014 NHAct within the broader political and economic context of Nigeria's health system reform process since the 1950s. Drawing on qualitative data collected during interviews and focus groups, we found that the deep entrenchment of private-sector healthcare in Nigeria is the result of a path-dependent process. This implies that Nigeria's current reliance on the private sector is influenced by historical patterns, competing interests, and institutional practices that have reinforced the role of private actors over time. We identified three major explanatory factors that have shaped health policymaking in Nigeria. First, since the 1980s, the ideology that private healthcare is the solution to an underfunded and underperforming public healthcare system has been reinforced by leading international organisations. Second, private actors in Nigeria have been in a strong position to influence health policymaking since independence. Third, Nigeria's challenging socioeconomic context and the limitations of its federal governance structure have fostered a general level of public distrust in the capacity of the public sector to provide quality healthcare.