Global, regional and national burden of neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous system tumors, 1990 to 2021 and predictions to 2035: visualizing epidemiological characteristics based on GBD 2021.

Background: Neuroblastoma (NB) is the most common extracranial malignant solid tumor in children, accounting for >15 % of cancer-related deaths in children. We analyzed the epidemiological statistical indicators of neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous system tumors patients from 1990 to 2021 in Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, aiming to provide valuable insights for public health interventions and clinical practices.

Methods: Based on the GBD 2021 database, this study analyzed the incidence, mortality, prevalence, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years (DALYs) of neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous system tumors from 1990 to 2021, stratified by sociodemographic development index (SDI) and geographic regions. Cross-country inequalities analysis was conducted to quantify the SDI-related inequality of disease burden across countries. In addition, the average annual percentage change (AAPC) and Age-Period-Cohort (APC) model were used to evaluate the trend of disease burden, while the global burden of disease to 2035 was predicted by Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model.

Findings: This study reported the disease burden of neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous system tumors in GBD 2021 database for the first time. Globally, the incidence and mortality of neuroblastoma have increased year by year from 1990 to 2021, especially in regions with low SDI, such as South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, where the burden of disease has increased significantly. Regions with high SDI, such as North America and Western Europe, have seen a reduction in disease burden due to higher levels of medical care and earlier diagnosis. The age distribution shows that children under 5 years of age are mainly affected, especially in low- and middle-income areas. In addition, the incidence is slightly higher in men than in women. The BAPC model predicts that the global incidence, mortality, and DALYs of neuroblastoma will continue to increase until 2035.

Interpretation: Significant regional and population variation in neuroblastoma and other peripheral nervous system tumors worldwide, with a particularly high disease burden in low SDI areas with limited medical resources. This trend highlights the urgent need for global public health interventions and resource allocation, particularly in low-income countries. Future research should focus on improving early diagnosis, risk stratification and target therapy in order to reduce the global burden of disease and improve patients' prognosis.

Funding: This study was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 82293662, No 82172357 and No 81930066), Key project of Shanghai "Science and Technology Innovation Action Plan (22JC1402304) and Research fund of Shanghai Municipal Health Bureau (No. 2019cxjq03).