Multi-Condition Remaining Useful Life Prediction Based on Mixture of Encoders.

Entropy (Basel)

Key Laboratory of Big Data & Artificial Intelligence in Transportation (Ministry of Education), Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China.

Published: January 2025

Accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is vital for effective prognostics in and the health management of industrial equipment, particularly under varying operational conditions. Existing approaches to multi-condition RUL prediction often treat each working condition independently, failing to effectively exploit cross-condition knowledge. To address this limitation, this paper introduces MoEFormer, a novel framework that combines a Mixture of Encoders (MoE) with a Transformer-based architecture to achieve precise multi-condition RUL prediction. The core innovation lies in the MoE architecture, where each encoder is designed to specialize in feature extraction for a specific operational condition. These features are then dynamically integrated through a gated mixture module, enabling the model to effectively leverage cross-condition knowledge. A Transformer layer is subsequently employed to capture temporal dependencies within the input sequence, followed by a fully connected layer to produce the final prediction. Additionally, we provide a theoretical performance guarantee for MoEFormer by deriving a lower bound for its error rate. Extensive experiments on the widely used C-MAPSS dataset demonstrate that MoEFormer outperforms several state-of-the-art methods for multi-condition RUL prediction.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e27010079DOI Listing

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