Purpose: This systematic review examines the utility of deep learning algorithms in predicting pathological complete response (pCR) in rectal cancer patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT). The primary goal is to evaluate the performance of MRI-based artificial intelligence (AI) models and explore factors affecting their diagnostic accuracy.

Methods: The review followed PRISMA guidelines and is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42024628017). Literature searches were conducted in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library using keywords such as "artificial intelligence," "rectal cancer," "MRI," and "pathological complete response." Articles involving deep learning models applied to MRI for predicting pCR were included, excluding non-MRI data and studies without AI applications. Data on study characteristics, MRI sequences, AI model details, and performance metrics were extracted. Quality assessment was performed using the PROBAST tool.

Results: Out of 512 initial records, 26 studies met the inclusion criteria. Most studies demonstrated promising diagnostic performance, with AUC values for external validation typically exceeding 0.8. The use of T2W and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) MRI phases enhanced model accuracy compared to T2W alone. Larger datasets generally correlated with improved model performance. However, heterogeneity in model designs, MRI protocols, and the limited integration of clinical data were noted as challenges.

Conclusion: AI-enhanced MRI demonstrates significant potential in predicting pCR in rectal cancer, particularly with T2W + DWI sequences and larger datasets. While integrating clinical data remains controversial, standardizing methodologies and expanding datasets will further enhance model robustness and clinical utility.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00384-025-04809-wDOI Listing

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