Association between estrogen and kidney function: population based evidence and mutual bidirectional Mendelian randomization study.

Background: Previous studies have suggested a potential role of estrogen in the pathophysiology of chronic kidney disease (CKD); however, the association and causality between estrogen and kidney function remain unclear.

Methods: The cross-sectional correlation between serum estradiol concentration and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) was analyzed using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013-2016. Causality was tested using mutual bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) approaches based on six large-scale GWAS studies. Weighted generalized multivariate linear regression was employed to estimate the association between estradiol and eGFR and ACR, and a restricted cubic spline analysis was utilized to investigate potential nonlinear relationships.

Results: A total of 8932 participants were included. Serum estradiol concentration was positively associated with eGFR after adjusting for potential covariates (β, 0.76; 95% CI 0.24 to 1.27) and with ACR (β, 5.99; 95% CI 1.62 to 10.36). A nonlinear positive association was found between estradiol and eGFR, while an inverse "V"-shaped relationship was seen with ACR. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the stability of the relationship between estradiol and eGFR but indicated a less robust association with ACR. Stratified analysis showed that the association between estradiol and eGFR was particularly significant in populations with CKD and hypertension. All forward MR analyses demonstrated a positive causal relationship between estradiol and eGFR, but no causality was found between estradiol and ACR. No reverse causal association was observed.

Conclusions: Serum estradiol concentration was causally associated with eGFR. Further longitudinal research is needed to validate these findings.