Predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and MELD score for short-term survival of patients with HBV-DeCi.

Objective: The prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) combined with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was evaluated for hepatitis B virus-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi).

Methods: The 30-day mortality of 166 hBV-DeCi patients was examined. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and multivariate regression analysis were used to assess the performance of NLR for prediction of poor outcomes.

Results: The 30-day mortality rate was 10.2% (17/166). NLR was significantly lower in survivors than in non-survivors, and could be used for prognosis prediction in HBV-DeCi patients. Area under the curve was higher for NLR combined with MELD score than for each factor alone. (MELD score, AUC:0.864、NLR, AUC:0.781, Combined, AUC:0.920) The Odds ratio of MELD score is lower than NLR.(MELD score:1.447&NLR:1.745).

Conclusions: The findings demonstrate that NLR combined with MELD score has a high prognostic value for HBV-DeCi patients.