DNA methylation-based telomere length is more strongly associated with cardiovascular disease and long-term mortality than quantitative polymerase chain reaction-based telomere length: evidence from the NHANES 1999-2002.

Background: Telomere length (TL) serves as a pivotal gauge of cellular aging, with shorter TL linked to various age-related ailments. Recently, a DNA methylation-based TL estimator, known as DNAmTL, has emerged as a novel TL measurement tool. Our current investigation scrutinized the correlation between DNAmTL and the risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and enduring mortality among middle-aged and elderly individuals.

Methods: We enrolled a nationwide, population-based cohort of subjects from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey spanning 1999 to 2002, possessing data on both DNAmTL and quantitative polymerase chain reaction-based TL (qPCRTL). Logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards models were employed to evaluate the associations of DNAmTL with CVD risk and mortality, respectively.

Results: The cohort comprised 2532 participants, with a weighted CVD prevalence of 19.06%. Notably, each one-kilobase increase in DNAmTL was linked to a 53% diminished CVD risk [odds ratio (OR): 0.47, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.23-0.95, P = 0.035]. Over a median follow-up period of 206 months, 1361 deaths were recorded (53.75%), with 590 (23.30%) ascribable to CVD. Individuals with the lengthiest DNAmTL exhibited a 36% lower risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR): 0.64, 95% CI: 0.49-0.85, P = 0.002) and a 35% decrease in CVD mortality (HR: 0.65, 95% CI: 0.43-0.98, P = 0.044) compared to those with shortest DNAmTL. Notably, a stronger association with age was observed for DNAmTL compared to qPCRTL (r = -0.58 vs. r = - 0.25). Analysis of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves suggested superior predictive performance of DNAmTL over qPCRTL for CVD (area under curve (AUC): 0.63 vs. 0.55, P < 0.001), all-cause (AUC: 0.74 vs. 0.62, P < 0.001), and CVD mortality (AUC: 0.75 vs. 0.64, P < 0.001).

Conclusion: Longer DNAmTL was positively correlated with reduced CVD risk and long-term mortality in middle-aged and elderly cohorts. Notably, DNAmTL outperformed qPCRTL as an aging biomarker in the stratification of CVD risks and mortality.