Social dilemma of nonpharmaceutical interventions: Determinants of dynamic compliance and behavioral shifts.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A

Department of Mathematics, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755.

Published: December 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • Nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), like social distancing and face coverings, are crucial for controlling global infectious diseases, but they rely heavily on people following these measures collectively.
  • The effectiveness of NPIs can vary during an epidemic, as individuals might switch their preferences frequently between different measures or choose not to participate at all.
  • By analyzing the perceived costs and effectiveness of NPIs, particularly for face coverings and social distancing, the study provides valuable insights into improving compliance and combating disease spread.

Article Abstract

In fighting infectious diseases posing a global health threat, ranging from influenza to Zika, nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPI), such as social distancing and face covering, remain mitigation measures public health can resort to. However, the success of NPI lies in sufficiently high levels of collective compliance, otherwise giving rise to recurrent infections that are not only driven by pathogen evolution but also changing vigilance in the population. Here, we show that compliance with each NPI measure can be highly dynamic and context-dependent during an ongoing epidemic, where individuals may prefer one to another or even do nothing, leading to intricate temporal switching behavior of NPI adoptions. By characterizing dynamic regimes through the perceived costs of NPI measures and their effectiveness in particular regarding face covering and social distancing, our work offers insights into overcoming barriers in NPI adoptions.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11648666PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2407308121DOI Listing

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