The Incidence, Risk Factors, and Hospital Mortality of Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation among Cardiac Surgery Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Background: Prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) is a common complication after cardiac surgery and is considered a risk factor for poor outcomes. However, the incidence and in-hospital mortality of PMV among cardiac surgery patients reported in studies vary widely, and risk factors are controversial.

Methods: We searched four databases (Web of Science, Cochrane Library, PubMed, and EMBASE) for English-language articles from inception to October 2023. The odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (CI), PMV incidence, and in-hospital mortality were extracted. Statistical data analysis was performed using Stata software. We calculated the fixed or random effects model according to the heterogeneity. The quality of each study was appraised by two independent reviewers using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale.

Results: Thirty-two studies were included. The incidence of PMV was 20%. Twenty-one risk factors were pooled, fifteen risk factors were found to be statistically significant (advanced age, being female, ejection fraction <50, body mass index (BMI), BMI >28 kg/m, New York Heart Association Class ≥Ⅲ, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic renal failure, heart failure, arrhythmia, previous cardiac surgery, higher white blood cell count, creatinine, longer cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time, and CPB >120 min). In addition, PMV was associated with increased in-hospital mortality (OR, 14.13, 95% CI, 12.16-16.41, I = 90.3%, < 0.01).

Conclusions: The PMV incidence was 20%, and it was associated with increased in-hospital mortality. Fifteen risk factors were identified. More studies are needed to prevent PMV more effectively according to these risk factors.

The Prospero Registration: This systematic review and meta-analysis was recorded at PROSPERO (CRD42021273953, https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=273953).