Early predictors of unfavorable outcomes in pediatric acute respiratory failure.

J Intensive Care

Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Published: December 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • The study investigates the outcomes of children under 20 with acute respiratory failure, finding that 9.1% had unfavorable outcomes, which include in-hospital death or discharge with new health conditions.
  • Data was collected from a national inpatient database in Japan, focusing on children who required ventilatory support shortly after hospitalization, with a noteworthy percentage having pneumonia as the primary diagnosis.
  • Identified early predictors of unfavorable outcomes included older age, pre-existing health conditions, pneumonia, and lower hospital care volume, indicating areas for targeted improvements in pediatric care.

Article Abstract

Objective: Acute respiratory failure is a leading cause of critical illness in children. However, patient outcomes and early predictors of unfavorable outcomes are not well understood. This study aimed to describe composite unfavorable outcomes, defined as in-hospital death or discharge with new comorbidities, and to identify early predictors in children with acute respiratory failure in acute care hospitals.

Design: Retrospective cohort study using a national inpatient database in Japan.

Setting: All acute care hospitals registered in the database.

Patients: This study included children under 20 years of age who were admitted with acute respiratory diseases between July 2010 and March 2022 and received ventilatory support within the first three days of hospitalization.

Intervention: None.

Measurements And Main Results: Among 29,362 eligible children, the median age was 1.2 (interquartile range, 0.3-3.7) years and 28.8% had underlying conditions. The highest level of ventilatory support within the first three days was invasive ventilation (69.4%), noninvasive ventilation (1.0%), and high-flow nasal cannula (29.7%). Respiratory diagnoses included pneumonia (58.6%), bronchiolitis (29.0%), and asthma (11.1%). Among these children, 669 (2.3%) died and 1994 (6.8%) were discharged with new comorbidities, resulting in 2663 (9.1%) children experiencing unfavorable outcomes. In the logistic regression model, older age, underlying conditions, pneumonia, and low hospital volume were associated with unfavorable outcomes after adjusting for covariates.

Conclusions: A significant proportion of pediatric patients with acute respiratory failure experienced unfavorable outcomes, warranting future efforts to improve acute care services for at-risk children. Early predictors identified from national database analyses could inform risk stratification and optimize the provision of acute care services for vulnerable pediatric patients.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11610168PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40560-024-00763-xDOI Listing

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