: Simple surgical and clinical risk scores are useful in mortality prediction. : The study's aim was to validate three scores in real-world registry of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for the left main coronary artery (LMCA). : All data were obtained from the BIA-LM Registry. Discrimination and calibration of EuroSCORE II, ACEF, CHADS-VASc, and CHADS-VA were assessed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves analysis and Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test. : The final cohort included 851 patients, median age was 71, and 156 patients had history of previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Median EuroSCORE II, ACEF, CHADS-VASc, and CHADS-VA were 3.1% (IQR 5.4%), 1.56 (IQR 0.9), 4 (IQR 2), and 4 (IQR 2), respectively. In the short- (30 days) and long-term (mean 4.1 years), there were 27 and 318 deaths. In short-term, EuroSCORE II showed the best discrimination in the overall population and subgroup with unprotected LMCA [area under the curve (AUC) 0.804, 95% CI 0.717-0.890 and AUC 0.826, 95% CI 0.737-0.913, respectively, < 0.001 for comparisons with other models), with the best cut-off value at 7.1%. In long-term observation, EuroSCORE II and ACEF showed good predictive value (overall population: AUC 0.716, 95% CI 0.680-0.750 and AUC 0.725, 95% CI 0.690-760, respectively). In short- and long-term observation, EuroSCORE II and ACEF showed poor calibration (HL test < 0.05) as compared to CHADS-VASc (HL test = 0.40 and 0.18). : EuroSCORE II showed good mortality prediction in short-term observation; however, its predicted risk should be interpreted with caution due to poor calibration. ACEF and EuroSCORE II may be useful in long-term mortality prediction.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm13226907 | DOI Listing |
J Clin Med
November 2024
Department of Invasive Cardiology, Medical University of Białystok, 15-089 Białystok, Poland.
: Simple surgical and clinical risk scores are useful in mortality prediction. : The study's aim was to validate three scores in real-world registry of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for the left main coronary artery (LMCA). : All data were obtained from the BIA-LM Registry.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFClin Res Cardiol
November 2024
Department of Internal Medicine II, Division of Cardiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Paracelsus Medical University of Salzburg, 5020, Salzburg, Austria.
Objectives: This study aimed to assess the prognostic value of routinely collected laboratory parameters, specifically lactate, troponin-T, and CK-MB, in predicting mortality in patients with surgically treated endocarditis. Additionally, the study evaluated the effectiveness of two mortality scores, EuroSCORE II and ACEF II Score, in this clinical context.
Methods: We retrospectively analyzed data from 130 patients diagnosed with endocarditis who underwent surgery at a single tertiary center over nine years.
J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth
December 2024
Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Gyeonggi-do, Republic of Korea. Electronic address:
Objectives: This study evaluated the performances of the age, creatinine, and ejection fraction (ACEF) I and II scores and compare them with that of the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II score in patients who underwent isolated off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCABG). Additionally, this study was designed to externally validate the performance of the updated ACEF II score.
Design: Retrospective observational study.
Ann Card Anaesth
February 2023
Department of Clinical and Molecular Medicine, NTNU - Norwegian University of Science and Technology; Department of Immunology and Transfusion Medicine, St. Olavs University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.
Introduction: No mortality risk prediction model has previously been validated for cardiac surgery in Indonesia. This study aimed at validating the EuroSCORE II and Age Creatinine Ejection Fraction (ACEF) score as predictors for in-hospital mortality after cardiac surgery a in tertiary center, and if necessary, to recalibrate the EuroSCORE II model to our population.
Methods: This study was a single-center observational study from prospectively collected data on adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery from January 2006 to December 2011 (n = 1833).
J Clin Med
June 2022
Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri IRCCS, 20156 Milan, Italy.
Objectives: Despite its large diffusion and improvements in safety, the risks of complications after cardiac surgery remain high. Published predictive perioperative scores (EUROSCORE, STS, ACEF) assess risk on preoperative data only, not accounting for the intraopertive period. We propose a double-fold model, including data collected before surgery and data collected at the end of surgery, to evaluate patient risk evolution over time and assess the direct contribution of surgery.
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