Enhancing strategic decision-making in differential games through bifurcation prediction.

Sci Rep

Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, 48109, USA.

Published: November 2024

Qualitative changes can occur in the dynamics of nonlinear systems even for small parameter variations. Such changes are manifestations of bifurcation in dynamical systems. In the context of differential game theory, bifurcations offer insights into the underlying mechanisms driving strategic interactions and identify transitions between different types of behavior. Such critical transitions are tipping points that can dramatically change the outcomes of the game. This work explores the possibility of predicting such qualitative shifts, including supercritical Hopf bifurcations, before they occur using a data-driven forecasting technique. This concept is demonstrated for an attacker-defender game in a limited resource scenario and for an active cybersecurity defense game. The time histories of the system dynamics as it approaches a bifurcation allow one player to detect the existence of bifurcations. This capability provides that player insights into the dynamics of the game and potential defense mechanisms in resource-constrained scenarios.

Download full-text PDF

Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11584636PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-75848-6DOI Listing

Publication Analysis

Top Keywords

game
5
enhancing strategic
4
strategic decision-making
4
decision-making differential
4
differential games
4
games bifurcation
4
bifurcation prediction
4
prediction qualitative
4
qualitative changes
4
changes occur
4

Similar Publications

The increasing prevalence of diabetes mellitus worldwide necessitates that medical undergraduates acquire a deep understanding of the disease to ensure accurate diagnosis and effective management. Traditional teaching methods, while foundational, often lack the interactive elements that enhance student engagement and knowledge retention. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of a novel educational board game, "Diabe-teach," in enhancing knowledge retention among medical students compared with conventional self-study methods.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

The paper addresses the economic operation optimization problem of photovoltaic charging-swapping-storage integrated stations (PCSSIS) in high-penetration distribution networks. It proposes a dual-layer optimization scheduling model for PCSSIS clusters and distribution network systems. Firstly, a master-slave game model is constructed.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

This study aimed to investigate the impact of different offensive-reward-related rules on the physical performance, perceived exertion and enjoyment of young basketball players during small-sided games (SSG). Eighteen youth male players (age: 13.3±0.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Against the backdrop of an aging population, community pension initiatives are gaining traction, permeating societal landscapes. This study delves into the equilibrium strategy within the context of a defined benefit pension plan, employing a differential game framework with a community pension model. Hence, the model entails the company's controls over investment rates in funds, juxtaposed with employees' inclination towards a greater proportion of community pension allocation in said funds.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

This paper mainly focuses on investigating the discrete event dynamic decision-making process with two noncooperative intelligent agents, defined as event dynamic games (EDGs). We introduce a novel state space model and analyze the existence of its equilibrium solution. Additionally, we apply principles of network evolution to address the challenge of event dynamic game network modeling.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?

Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!