A patient stratification signature mirrors the immunogenic potential of high grade serous ovarian cancers.

Background: While high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSC) has proven largely resistant to immunotherapy, sporadic incidents of partial and complete response have been observed in clinical trials and case reports. These observations suggest that a molecular basis for effective immunity may exist within a subpopulation of HGSC. Herein, we developed an algorithm, CONSTRU (Computing Prognostic Marker Dependencies by Successive Testing of Gene-Stratified Subgroups), to facilitate the discovery and characterization of molecular backgrounds of HGSC that confer resistance or susceptibility to protective anti-tumor immunity.

Methods: We used CONSTRU to identify genes from tumor expression profiles that influence the prognostic power of an established immune cytolytic activity signature (CYTscore). From the identified genes, we developed a stratification signature (STRATsig) that partitioned patient populations into tertiles that varied markedly by CYTscore prognostic power. The tertile groups were then analyzed for distinguishing biological, clinical and immunological properties using integrative bioinformatics approaches.

Results: Patient survival and molecular measures of immune suppression, evasion and dysfunction varied significantly across STRATsig tertiles in validation cohorts. Tumors comprising STRATsig tertile 1 (S-T1) showed no immune-survival benefit and displayed a hyper-immune suppressed state marked by activation of TGF-β, Wnt/β-catenin and adenosine-mediated immunosuppressive pathways, with concurrent T cell dysfunction, reduced potential for antigen presentation, and enrichment of cancer-associated fibroblasts. By contrast, S-T3 tumors exhibited diminished immunosuppressive signaling, heightened antigen presentation machinery, lowered T cell dysfunction, and a significant CYTscore-survival benefit that correlated with mutational burden in a manner consistent with anti-tumor immunoediting. These tumors also showed elevated activity of DNA damage/repair, cell cycle/proliferation and oxidative phosphorylation, and displayed greater proportions of Th1 CD4 + T cells. In these patients, but not those of S-T1 or S-T2, validated predictors of immunotherapy response were prognostic of longer patient survival. Further analyses showed that STRATsig tertile properties were not explained by known HGSC molecular or clinical subtypes or singular immune mechanisms.

Conclusions: STRATsig is a composite of parallel immunoregulatory pathways that mirrors tumor immunogenic potential. Approximately one-third of HGSC cases classify as S-T3 and display a hypo-immunosuppressed and antigenic molecular composition that favors immunologic tumor control. These patients may show heightened responsiveness to current immunotherapies.