High neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio at eradication increases the risk of eradication failure and post-eradication gastric cancer.

Introduction: Vonoprazan has been known to have a high () eradication rate since its launch in 2015. Yet, the risk factors for eradication failure and development of post-eradication gastric cancer (GC) using VPZ regimen remain unclear.

Methods: This single-center cohort study included 934 consecutive patients who underwent eradication using VPZ between February 2015 and June 2017 and were followed up for five years by the end of 2022. We examined several indicators of systemic immune, inflammatory, and nutritional status at the time of eradication to identify those indicators could predict eradication success, risk of post-eradication GC development, and long-term prognosis.

Results: The successful eradication rates were 92.6% (intention-to-treat) and 98.7% (per-protocol). Multivariate analysis showed that only a high peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was significantly associated with eradication failure. The 5-year GC incidence rate was 1.67%, and all GCs were stage IA. The mean (standard deviation [SD]) time from eradication to diagnosis was 40.5 (6.1) months. Multivariate analysis showed that high NLR and history of GC and hypertension were significantly associated with GC development. Patients with elevated NLR post-eradication had a higher risk of newly developed GC. Twelve patients died during the study period, and a high NLR was associated with a significantly higher mortality rate.

Conclusions: NLR has the potential to be a biomarker that predicts the failure of eradication and development of post-eradication GC. High NLR was also associated with poor long-term prognosis after eradication.