A Parrondo paradox in susceptible-infectious-susceptible dynamics over periodic temporal networks.

Math Biosci

Department of Mathematics, State University of New York at Buffalo, NY, 14260-2900, USA; Institute for Artificial Intelligence and Data Science, State University of NewYork at Buffalo, NY, 14260-5030, USA; Center for Computational Social Science, Kobe University, Kobe 657-8501, Japan. Electronic address:

Published: December 2024

Many social and biological networks periodically change over time with daily, weekly, and other cycles. Thus motivated, we formulate and analyze susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic models over temporal networks with periodic schedules. More specifically, we assume that the temporal network consists of a cycle of alternately used static networks, each with a given duration. We observe a phenomenon in which two static networks are individually above the epidemic threshold but the alternating network composed of them renders the dynamics below the epidemic threshold, which we refer to as a Parrondo paradox for epidemics. We find that network structure plays an important role in shaping this phenomenon, and we study its dependence on the connectivity between and number of subpopulations in the network. We associate such paradoxical behavior with anti-phase oscillatory dynamics of the number of infectious individuals in different subpopulations.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2024.109336DOI Listing

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