Setting thresholds to determine COVID-19 activity levels using the mean standard deviation (MSD) method, England, 2022-2024.

Euro Surveill

Respiratory Virus Section, Immunisation and Vaccine-Preventable Diseases Division, Public Health Programmes, United Kingdom Health Security Agency (UKHSA), London, United Kingdom.

Published: November 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • The mean standard deviation (MSD) method was created to measure COVID-19 activity levels.
  • It was tested against the established moving epidemic method (MEM) for influenza, yielding similar results.
  • The MSD method is useful for assessing activity levels of respiratory viruses, especially when there's limited historical data or when multiple viruses are present.

Article Abstract

We developed a new activity level setting threshold method, the mean standard deviation (MSD) method to quantify COVID-19 activity levels. This has been validated against the moving epidemic method (MEM), which has been used for influenza for many years, and we observed very similar results. The MSD method can prove to be a tool to use for respiratory viruses with limited historical data or seasonality to quantify activity levels when other respiratory viruses are also circulating.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11544723PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696DOI Listing

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