AI Article Synopsis

  • The share of solar power in Brazil's grid is growing, helping reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve energy security.
  • A study evaluates climate models' ability to predict surface solar irradiance in Brazil, indicating most regions may see a 2% to 8% increase, while the South may experience a 3% decrease.
  • The findings suggest potential growth in photovoltaic energy production if supported by public policies, emphasizing the need for careful assessment of climate model uncertainty.

Article Abstract

The share of solar power in Brazil's electrical grid has rapidly increased, relieving GHG emissions and diversifying energy sources for greater energy security. Besides that, solar resource is susceptible to climate change, adding uncertainty to electrical grid resilience. This study uses satellite and reanalysis data to evaluate the performance of CMIP6 models in replicating and predicting surface solar irradiance (SSR) in Brazil. The results from the most reliable models indicate an increase in SSR by 2% to 8% in most regions, with a decrease of around 3% in the South. These findings highlight the potential for increased photovoltaic (PV) yield if backed by supportive public policies while underlining the importance of uncertainty assessment of climate models.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11494216PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-73769-yDOI Listing

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