Wolbachia Invasion in Mosquitoes with Incomplete CI, Imperfect Maternal Transmission and Maturation Delay.

Bull Math Biol

Department of Mathematics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, 150001, Heilongjiang, People's Republic of China.

Published: October 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • The study focuses on the role of cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI) in how Wolbachia bacteria invade wild mosquito populations, using a delay differential equation model to connect CI with maturation delays.
  • The researchers analyze various death rates and determine the conditions needed for Wolbachia to successfully invade, noting the significant impact of maternal transmission quality on invasion outcomes.
  • Numerical simulations reveal complex dynamics, including monostable and bistable scenarios, where the maturation delay modifies the behavior of the system, particularly affecting an unstable line-like separatrix in some situations.

Article Abstract

The mechanism of cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI) is important in the study of Wolbachia invasion in wild mosquitoes. Su et al. (Bull Math Biol 84(9):95, 2022) proposed a delay differential equation model by relating the CI effect to maturation delay. In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of this model by allowing the same density-dependent death rate and distinct density-independent death rates. Through analyzing the existence and stability of equilibria, we obtain the parameter conditions for Wolbachia successful invasion if the maternal transmission is perfect. While if the maternal transmission is imperfect, we give the ranges of parameters to ensure failure invasion, successful invasion and partially suppressing, respectively. Meanwhile, numerical simulations indicate that the system may exhibit monostable and bistable dynamics when parameters vary. Particularly, in the bistable situation an unstable separatrix, like a line, exists when choosing constant functions as initial values; and the maturation delay affects this separatrix in an interesting way.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11538-024-01363-4DOI Listing

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