Prediction of left ventricular thrombus after myocardial infarction: a cardiac magnetic resonance-based prospective registry.

Background: Left ventricular thrombus (LVTh) is a severe complication after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

Objectives: We aim to predict LVTh occurrence by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) using clinical, echocardiographic, and electrocardiographic (ECG) variables readily available at admission.

Methods: We included 590 reperfused STEMI patients who underwent early (1-week) and/or late (6-month) CMR in our institution. Baseline clinical, echocardiographic (left ventricular ejection fraction -LVEF-) and ECG data (summatory of ST-segment elevation -sum-STE- and Q-wave and residual ST-elevation >1 mm -Q-STE-) during admission were registered. Multivariate binary logistic regression models and receiver operating characteristic curves were computed for LVTh prediction.

Results: LVTh was detected by CMR in 43 (7.3 %) patients and was predicted by previous chronic coronary syndrome (CCS, HR 4.74 [1.82-12.35], p = 0.001), anterior STEMI (HR 10.93 [2.47-48.31], p = 0.002), LVEF (HR 0.96 [0.93-0.99] per %, p = 0.008), maximum sum-STE (HR 1.04 [1.01-1.07] per mm, p = 0.04), and Q-STE (HR 1.31 [1.08-1.6] per lead, p = 0.008). High-risk patients with both major (anterior STEMI and Q-STE in ≥1 leads) and 1-3 minor (CCS, maximum sum-STE >10 mm, LVEF <50%) factors showed the highest LVTh risk (19.6 % within 6 months). The model showed excellent discrimination ability (area under the curve=0.85 [0.81-0.9], p < 0.001). Simplified 4-variable (excluding sum-STE) and 3-variable (also excluding CCS) risk scores showed similar discrimination ability and were externally validated.

Conclusions: LVTh within 6 months post-STEMI can be predicted using pre-discharge clinical (anterior infarction and CCS), echocardiographic (LVEF), and ECG (sum-STE and Q-STE) data. Our results can help select patients who should undergo CMR after STEMI for LVTh detection.