Predictors of Anterior Cruciate Ligament Tears in Adolescents and Young Adults.

Background: Anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury in youth can lead to expensive treatment, lengthy rehabilitation, and long-term impairment. Injuries to the ACL are more common in adolescents who participate in organized sports.

Purpose: To examine whether there is an association between age, physical activity patterns, pubertal timing (Tanner stage), or body mass index (obesity/overweight status) and the risk of developing an ACL injury in youth.

Study Design: Cohort study; Level of evidence, 2.

Methods: Data from the Growing Up Today Study (GUTS), a prospective cohort study of youth throughout the United States, were used in this study. From 1996 to 2003, questionnaires were sent to GUTS participants every 12 to 18 months to assess a variety of self-reported factors; in a related 2004 questionnaire, ACL tears and other diagnoses among the participants were reported. Cox proportional hazard models were run to determine the sex-specific association of activity patterns and pubertal timing with risk of developing an ACL tear.

Results: A total of 4519 boys and 5622 girls (age: 9-15 years) were included, with 2.4% and 2.0% sustaining an ACL injury, respectively. Age was found to be a significant risk factor for ACL injury in both sexes (male: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.30 [95% CI, 1.14-1.48]; female: HR = 1.23 [95% CI, 1.10-1.38]). Mean hours per week engaged in vigorous activity was also predictive of a higher risk of ACL injury (male: HR = 1.04 [95% CI, 1.01-1.08]; female: HR = 1.10 [95% CI, 1.07-1.14]). The sports that were the most predictive of injury were running, basketball, soccer, and cheerleading/gymnastics in girls and running, football, and karate/martial arts in boys. Additionally, in boys, overweight/obese status was found to be a significant predictor of ACL injury (HR = 2.61 [95% CI, 1.60-4.26]). Furthermore, among 9- to 13-year-old girls, advanced Tanner stage was a strong predictor of injury risk (HR = 2.43 [95% CI, 1.10-5.36]).

Conclusion: Age, time engaged in vigorous activity, overweight/obese status, and advanced Tanner stage were associated with an increased risk of ACL injury in young adults and adolescents. Further research with follow-up data will help complement this study and continue to highlight the risk factors associated with ACL reconstruction in adolescents and young adults.