Association of glycemic variability and prognosis in patients with traumatic brain injury: A retrospective study from the MIMIC-IV database.

Background: Elevated glycemic variability (GV) often occurs in intensive care unit (ICU) patients and is associated with patient prognosis. However, the association between GV and prognosis in ICU patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) remains unclear.

Method: Clinical data of ICU patients with TBI were obtained from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) -IV database. The coefficient of variation (CV) was utilized to quantify GV, while the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) was employed to evaluate the consciousness status of TBI patients. Pearson linear correlation analysis, linear regression, COX regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) were used to investigate the relationship between CV and consciousness impairment, as well as the risk of in-hospital mortality.

Result: A total of 1641 ICU patients with TBI were included in the study from the MIMIC-IV database. Pearson linear correlation and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis results showed a negative linear relationship between CV and the last GCS (P = 0.002) with no evidence of nonlinearity (P for nonlinear = 0.733). Multivariable linear regression suggested a higher CV was associated with a lower discharge GCS [β (95 %CI) = -1.86 (-3.08 ∼ -0.65), P = 0.003]. Furthermore, multivariable COX regression indicated that CV ≥ 0.3 was a risk factor for in-hospital death in TBI patients [HR (95 %CI) = 1.74 (1.15-2.62), P = 0.003], and this result was also consistent across sensitivity and subgroup analyses.

Conclusion: Higher GV is related to poorer consciousness outcomes and increased risk of in-hospital death in ICU patients with TBI. Additional research is needed to understand the logical relationship between GV and TBI progression.