Risk of locoregional recurrence after breast cancer surgery by molecular subtype-a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

Background: The prevention of locoregional recurrence (LRR) is crucial in breast cancer, as it translates directly into reduced breast cancer-related death. Breast cancer is subclassified into distinct intrinsic biological subtypes with varying clinical outcomes.

Aims: To perform a systematic review and network meta-analysis (NMA) to determine the rate of LRR by breast cancer molecular subtype.

Methods: A NMA was performed as per PRISMA-NMA guidelines. Molecular subtypes were classified by St Gallen expert consensus statement (2013). Analysis was performed using R and Shiny.

Results: Five studies were included including 6731 patients whose molecular subtypes were available. Overall, 47.3% (3182/6731) were Luminal A (LABC: estrogen receptor (ER) + /human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) - /progesterone receptor (PR) + or Ki-67 < 20%), 25.5% (1719/6731) were Luminal B (LBBC: ER + /HER2 - /PR - or Ki-67 ≥ 20%), 11.2% (753/6731) were Luminal B-HER2 + (LBBC-HER2: ER + /HER2 +), 6.9% (466/6731) were HER2 + (HER2 ER - /HER2 +), and finally 9.1% (611/6731) were triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC: ER - /HER2 -). The median follow-up was 74.0 months and the overall LRR rate was 4.0% (271/6731). The LRR was 1.7% for LABC (55/3182), 5.1% for LBBC (88/1719), 6.0% for LBBC-HER2 (45/753), 6.0% for HER2 (28/466), and 7.9% for TNBC (48/611). At NMA, patients with TNBC (odds ratio (OR) 3.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.80-7.74), HER2 (OR 3.24, 95% CI 1.50-6.99), LBBC-HER2 (OR 2.38, 95% CI 1.09-5.20), and LBBC (OR 2.20, 95% CI 1.07-4.50) were significantly more likely to develop LRR compared to LABC.

Conclusion: TNBC and HER2 subtypes are associated with the highest risk of LRR. Multidisciplinary team discussions should consider these findings to optimize locoregional control following breast cancer surgery.