21-gene recurrence score predictive of the benefit of postoperative radiotherapy after breast-conserving surgery for elderly patients with T1N0 and luminal breast cancer.

Purpose: To assess the predictive value of the 21-gene recurrence score (RS) on the survival outcomes of postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) in elderly patients with T1N0 luminal breast cancer after breast-conserving surgery.

Methods: We retrospectively included patients aged ≥ 70 years and diagnosed with T1N0 luminal BC between 2004 and 2015 using the data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results. The RS groups were categorized using the TAILORx criteria as follows: low risk (RS < 11) (LR), intermediate risk (RS 11-25) (IR), and high risk (RS > 25) (HR). Kaplan-Meier analysis, propensity score matching (PSM), and Cox proportional hazards analysis were used for statistical analysis.

Results: We included 5901 patients in the analysis. Of the patients, 4492 (76.1%) underwent PORT, while 1409 (23.9%) did not receive PORT. There were 1588 (26.9%), 3613 (61.2%), and 700 (12.0%) patients classified as LR, IR, and HR, respectively. There were 1182 (74.4%), 2773 (76.8%), and 537 (76.7%) patients in the LR, IR, and HR groups receiving PORT, respectively (P = 0.182). A total of 1353 pairs of patients were completely matched using PSM. PORT was independently associated with better overall survival (OS) (P < 0.001) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) (P = 0.015) in the entire cohort. The sensitivity analyses showed that the receipt of PORT was not associated with OS (P = 0.887) and BCSS (P = 0.861) in the LR group. However, the receipt of PORT was associated with OS (P < 0.001) and BCSS in the IRHR group (P = 0.026).

Conclusion: Our study highlights the possible role of the 21-gene RS in predicting the survival outcomes of PORT following BCS in elderly patients with T1N0 luminal breast cancer.