Mortality associated with osteoporosis and pathological fractures in the United States (1999-2020): a multiple-cause-of-death study.

Background: Osteoporosis with pathological fractures is a significant public health issue, contributing to morbidity, disability, diminished quality of life, and increased mortality. Understanding mortality trends related to this condition is crucial for developing effective interventions to reduce mortality and improve healthcare outcomes. This study aimed to analyze trends and causes of death associated with osteoporosis and pathological fractures in the United States using a multi-cause approach.

Methods: Annual death and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) data from 1999 to 2020 were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) mortality database. Death certificates listing ICD-10 M82 (osteoporosis with pathological fracture) as an underlying or related cause of death were analyzed. Epidemiological data were analyzed, and the ASMR data were calculated for each year, and trends were assessed using the Cochran-Armitage trend test.

Results: From 1999 to 2020, there were 40,441 deaths related to osteoporosis with pathological fractures in the United States, with a female-to-male ratio of 5.6:1. Among these, 12,820 deaths (31.7%) listed osteoporosis with pathological fractures as the underlying cause of death (UCD), yielding a female-to-male ASMR ratio of approximately 5.0-7.7:1. When classified as a non-UCD, the ASMR ratio was approximately 4.8-6.2:1. At the same time, we found that the total number of deaths classified as UCD and multiple causes of death (MCD), but the trend ratio of the two groups in different years did not change statistically significant (P > 0.05), and the ASMR of both groups showed a downward trend. The UCD-to-MCD ratio increased between 1999 and 2007, then decreased from 2007 to 2020. As MCD, the number of female deaths was more than that of male, and both showed a decreasing trend, but there was no statistical significance in the change of trend ratio in different years (P > 0.05). Deaths were predominantly concentrated in individuals over 75 years of age, with those over 84 years being the most affected. The number of deaths in different age groups showed a decreasing trend, and the change of trend ratio in different years was statistically significant (P < 0.05). White individuals had the highest number of deaths. The leading causes of death were heart diseases, chronic lower respiratory diseases, and alzheimer's disease. In addition, the number of deaths of patients with prostate cancer and breast cancer showed a significant downward trend, and the change of trend ratio between the two groups in different years was statistically significant (P < 0.05).

Conclusions: Although mortality from osteoporosis with pathological fractures is decreasing, anti-osteoporosis therapy remains essential for elderly patients. Healthcare providers should remain vigilant for potential complications, including malignant neoplasms, and ensure timely diagnosis and treatment to further reduce mortality in this population.