A model based on C-TIRADS combined with SWE for predicting Bethesda I thyroid nodules.

Objectives: This study aimed to explore the performance of a model based on Chinese Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data Systems (C-TIRADS), clinical characteristics, and shear wave elastography (SWE) for the prediction of Bethesda I thyroid nodules before fine needle aspiration (FNA).

Materials And Methods: A total of 267 thyroid nodules from 267 patients were enrolled. Ultrasound and SWE were performed for all nodules before FNA. The nodules were scored according to the 2020 C-TIRADS, and the ultrasound and SWE characteristics of Bethesda I and non-I thyroid nodules were compared. The independent predictors were determined by univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. A predictive model was established based on independent predictors, and the sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of the independent predictors were compared with that of the model.

Results: Our study found that the maximum diameter of nodules that ranged from 15 to 20 mm, the C-TIRADS category <4C, and <52.5 kPa were independent predictors for Bethesda I thyroid nodules. Based on multiple logistic regression, a predictive model was established: Logit (p) = -3.491 + 1.630 × maximum diameter + 1.719 × C-TIRADS category + 1.046 × (kPa). The AUC of the model was 0.769 (95% CI: 0.700-0.838), which was significantly higher than that of the independent predictors alone.

Conclusion: We developed a predictive model for predicting Bethesda I thyroid nodules. It might be beneficial to the clinical optimization of FNA strategy in advance and to improve the accurate diagnostic rate of the first FNA, reducing repeated FNA.