Infant sleep spindle measures from EEG improve prediction of cerebral palsy.

Objective: Early identification of infants at risk of cerebral palsy (CP) enables interventions to optimize outcomes. Central sleep spindles reflect thalamocortical sensorimotor circuit function. We hypothesized that abnormal infant central spindle activity would predict later contralateral CP.

Methods: We trained and validated an automated detector to measure spindle rate, duration, and percentage from central electroencephalogram (EEG) channels in high-risk infants (n = 35) and age-matched controls (n = 42). Neonatal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings, infant motor exam, and CP outcomes were obtained from chart review. Using univariable and multivariable logistic regression models, we examined whether spindle activity, MRI abnormalities, and/or motor exam predicted future contralateral CP.

Results: The detector had excellent performance (F1 = 0.50). Spindle rate (p = 0.005, p = 0.0004), duration (p < 0.001, p < 0.001), and percentage (p < 0.001, p < 0.001) were decreased in hemispheres corresponding to future CP compared to those without. In this cohort, PLIC abnormality (p = 0.004) and any MRI abnormality (p = 0.004) also predicted subsequent CP. After controlling for MRI findings, spindle features remained significant predictors and improved model fit (p < 0.001, all tests). Using both spindle duration and MRI findings had highest accuracy to classify hemispheres corresponding to future CP (F1 = 0.98, AUC 0.999).

Conclusion: Decreased central spindle activity improves the prediction of future CP in high-risk infants beyond early MRI or clinical exam alone.

Significance: Decreased central spindle activity provides an early biomarker for CP.