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Substantial nitrogen abatement accompanying decarbonization suppresses terrestrial carbon sinks in China. | LitMetric

Substantial nitrogen abatement accompanying decarbonization suppresses terrestrial carbon sinks in China.

Nat Commun

State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.

Published: September 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • - China is striving for carbon neutrality by 2060 while also improving air quality, but achieving this goal creates challenges regarding nitrogen emissions and ecosystem health.
  • - Research shows that following new emission control measures, nitrogen deposition in China's land could decrease by 44-57%, leading to a significant reduction in natural ecosystem productivity by 11-20%.
  • - This interplay between reducing nitrogen emissions and achieving carbon neutrality could hinder the effectiveness of natural carbon sinks, highlighting the need to carefully balance these environmental goals.

Article Abstract

China faces challenges in reaching its carbon neutrality goal by the year 2060 to meet the Paris Agreement and improving air quality simultaneously. Dramatic nitrogen emission reductions will be brought by this ambitious target, yet their impact on the natural ecosystem is not clear. Here, by combining two atmospheric chemistry models and two process-based terrestrial ecosystem models constrained using nationwide measurements, we show that atmospheric nitrogen deposition in China's terrestrial land will decrease by 44-57% following two emission control scenarios including one aiming at carbon neutrality. They consequently result in a pronounced shrinkage in terrestrial net ecosystem production, by 11-20% depending on models and emission scenarios. Our results indicate that the nitrogen emission reductions accompanying decarbonization would undermine natural carbon sinks and in turn set back progress toward carbon neutrality. This unintended impact calls for great concern about the trade-offs between nitrogen management and carbon neutrality.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11375097PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-52152-5DOI Listing

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