Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of revised leachate pollution index.

Environ Monit Assess

Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, 110016, India.

Published: August 2024

Composite indicators (CIs) are being utilized more frequently to assess and monitor environmental systems. The revised leachate pollution index (r-LPI) is one such composite indicator used to quantify the pollution potential of landfill leachate on a scale of 5-100. The development of CIs involves several steps, and each of these steps has various methodological choices, each of which could lead to different results. Thereby, the reliability of the quantified pollution potential of leachate may be questioned. This study investigated the techniques for developing the r-LPI, examining decisions related to parameter selection, normalization technique, weighting approach, sub-indicator weights, and their aggregation. As the index developer made the decisions, each of these stages was fraught with uncertainty. The uncertainty in the various stages of the development of r-LPI was quantified using the Monte Carlo-based uncertainty analysis and the sensitivity analysis approach. Uncertainty analysis is a helpful but seldom-used step of index development that identifies the model's most dependable sections. Sensitivity analysis was carried out to ascertain the degree of impact the input parameters have on the r-LPI values. The combined use of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis in this study for the formulation of r-LPI affirmed the transparency, credibility, and accuracy of the index.

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http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10661-024-13058-3DOI Listing

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