pigmentation demonstrates adaptive phenotypic parallelism but genomic unpredictability over multiple timescales.

Unlabelled: Populations are capable of responding to environmental change over ecological timescales via adaptive tracking. However, the translation from patterns of allele frequency change to rapid adaptation of complex traits remains unresolved. We used abdominal pigmentation in as a model phenotype to address the nature, genetic architecture, and repeatability of rapid adaptation in the field. We show that pigmentation evolves as a highly parallel and deterministic response to shared environmental gradients across latitude and season in natural North American populations. We then experimentally evolved replicate, genetically diverse fly populations in field mesocosms to remove any confounding effects of demography and/or cryptic structure that may drive patterns in wild populations; we show that pigmentation rapidly responds, in parallel, in fewer than ten generations. Thus, pigmentation evolves concordantly in response to spatial and temporal climatic gradients. We next examined whether phenotypic differentiation was associated with allele frequency change at loci with established links to genetic variance in pigmentation in natural populations. We found that across all spatial and temporal scales, phenotypic patterns were associated with variation at pigmentation-related loci, and the sets of genes we identified in each context were largely nonoverlapping. Therefore, our findings suggest that parallel phenotypic evolution is associated with an unpredictable genomic response, with distinct components of the polygenic architecture shifting across each environmental gradient to produce redundant adaptive patterns.

Significance Statement: Shifts in global climate conditions have heightened our need to understand the dynamics and pace of adaptation in natural populations. In order to anticipate the population-level response to rapidly changing environmental conditions, we need to understand whether trait evolution is predictable over short timescales, and whether the genetic basis of adaptation is shared or distinct across multiple timescales. Here, we explored parallelism in the adaptive response of a complex phenotype, pigmentation, to shared conditions that varied over multiple spatiotemporal scales. Our results demonstrate that while phenotypic adaptation proceeds as a predictable response to environmental gradients, even over short timescales, the genetic basis of the adaptive response is variable and nuanced across spatial and temporal contexts.