Monocytes-to-lymphocytes ratio increases the prognostic value of circulating tumor cells in non-small cell lung cancer: a prospective study.

Background: Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) has shown important prognostic value in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, the present low sensitivity of CTC capture technology restricts their clinical application. This study aims to explore the feasibility of combining the peripheral blood cell (PBC)-derived inflammation-based score with CTCs to increase the prognostic value of CTCs in NSCLC.

Methods: Sixty volunteers diagnosed with NSCLC were recruited. CTC count and six inflammation-based scores were examined and the association with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was explored. The changes in the CTC counts before and after the immunotherapy were observed.

Results: Multivariate analysis showed that CTCs >7 [hazard ratio (HR) =9.07; 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.68-22.37, P<0.001] and monocytes-to-lymphocytes ratio (MLR) > 0.2 (HR =3.07; 95% CI: 1.21-7.84; P=0.01) were associated with shorter OS and PFS in patients with NSCLC. Patients with CTCs >7 and MLR >0.2 had 12.30 times increased risk of death (P<0.001) and 6.10 times increased risk of disease progression (P=0.002) compared with those with CTCs ≤7 and MLR ≤0.2. Decreased CTC counts after immunotherapy were closely related to disease control (r=0.535, P=0.01).

Conclusions: CTCs and MLR are both independent risk factors for prognosis in patients with NSCLC. The combination of CTCs with MLR significantly increased the prognostic value of CTCs, which would contribute to stratification of NSCLC patients and providing precise treatment. Dynamic monitoring of CTCs efficiently shows the immunotherapy response in NSCLC.