Intervention portfolios analysis of Plasmodium vivax control in central China.

Malar J

NHC Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Control, School of Tropical Medicine, School of Public Health, Hainan Medical University, Haikou, People's Republic of China.

Published: August 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • A study evaluated the effectiveness of various malaria interventions using a Plasmodium vivax transmission model to find optimal strategies for eliminating malaria.
  • The analysis included mass drug administration (MDA), insecticide treatments, and untreated bed nets, and used historical data from China (1971-1983) to refine intervention strategies.
  • Results showed that MDA with primaquine significantly reduced malaria incidence and combining it with other interventions led to effective malaria eradication, highlighting the importance of a comprehensive approach for malaria elimination.

Article Abstract

Background: The effects of a diverse spectrum of malaria interventions were evaluated through a deterministic Plasmodium vivax transmission model. This approach aimed to provide theoretical evidence of the performance of these interventions once implemented for achieving malaria elimination.

Methods: An integrated intervention portfolio, including mass drug administration, insecticide treatment, and untreated bed nets, was analyzed through modeling. Additionally, data-driven calibration was implemented to infer coverages that effectively reproduced historical malaria patterns in China from 1971 to 1983.

Results: MDA utilizing primaquine emerged as the most effective single intervention, achieving a 70% reduction in malaria incidence when implemented at full coverage. Furthermore, a strategic combination of MDA with primaquine, chloroquine, untreated bed nets, and seasonal insecticide treatments effectively eradicated malaria, attaining elimination at a coverage level of 70%. It was conclusively demonstrated that an integrated approach combining MDA and vector control measures is essential for the successful elimination of malaria.

Conclusion: High coverage of mass drug administration with primaquine and chloroquine before transmission was the key driver of the malaria decline in China from 1971 to 1983. The best-fit intervention coverage combinations derived from calibration are provided as a reference for malaria control in other countries.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11321059PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12936-024-05063-1DOI Listing

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