Factors influencing the survival status of the hip joint in post-collapse femoral head necrosis.

Background: Despite hip function typically deteriorating in the post-collapse stage of osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH), some patients can still demonstrate long-term favorable hip function, a state termed "survival with collapse". This study aims to identify the characteristics of patients suitable for "survival with collapse" in cases of ONFH.

Methods: This cross-sectional study included 65 patients (87 hips) diagnosed with post-collapse ONFH for ≥ 3 years (average 9.1 years, range 3-23 years). Hip function was assessed using the Harris Hip Score (HHS). Demographic, clinical, and radiographic data were compared between the favorable group (HHS > 80) and the poor group (HHS ≤ 80). Independent protective factors for hip function were identified by multivariate analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was further applied to evaluate these factors' diagnostic efficacy.

Results: The favorable and poor groups included 46 and 41 hips, respectively. Significant differences were found in body mass index (BMI), Association Research Circulation Osseous (ARCO) stage, collapse degree, Japanese Investigation Committee (JIC) classification, necrotic size, and hip subluxation between the two groups (p < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression identified collapse < 3 mm(OR:14.49, 95%CI: 3.52-59.68, p < 0.001), JIC types B (OR: 11.08, 95% CI: 1.07-115.12, p < 0.05) and C1(OR: 5.18, 95% CI: 1.47-18.20, p < 0.05) as independent protective factors for hip function, while BMI (OR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.59-0.97, p = 0.029) was an independent risk factor. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that both collapse degree (AUC = 0.798, sensitivity = 91.3%, specificity = 68.3%, p < 0.0001) and JIC classification (AUC = 0.787, sensitivity = 80.4%, specificity = 73.2%, p < 0.0001) had satisfactory diagnostic value for hip function. Combining JIC classification and collapse degree (AUC = 0.868, sensitivity = 76.1%, specificity = 85.4%, p < 0.0001) significantly enhanced diagnostic efficacy compared to using either alone (p < 0.05).

Conclusion: In ONFH, femoral head collapse does not necessarily determine a poor prognosis. Patients with mild collapse (< 3 mm) and preserved anterolateral wall are more likely to retain satisfactory hip function, making them candidates for "survival with collapse."