Development and External Validation of a CT-Based Radiomics Nomogram to Predict Perineural Invasion and Survival in Gastric Cancer: A Multi-institutional Study.

Rationale And Objectives: To develop and validate a radiomics nomogram utilizing CT data for predicting perineural invasion (PNI) and survival in gastric cancer (GC) patients.

Materials And Methods: A retrospective analysis of 408 GC patients from two institutions: 288 patients from Institution I were divided 7:3 into a training set (n = 203) and a testing set (n = 85); 120 patients from Institution II served as an external validation set. Radiomics features were extracted and screened from CT images. Independent radiomics, clinical, and combined models were constructed to predict PNI. Model discrimination, calibration, clinical utility, and prognostic significance were evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), calibration curves, decision curves analysis, and Kaplan-Meier curves, respectively.

Results: 15 radiomics features and three clinical factors were included in the final analysis. The AUCs of the radiomics model in the training, testing, and external validation sets were 0.843 (95% CI: 0.788-0.897), 0.831 (95% CI: 0.741-0.920), and 0.802 (95% CI: 0.722-0.882), respectively. A nomogram was developed by integrating significant clinical factors with radiomics features. The AUCs of the nomogram in the training, testing, and external validation sets were 0.872 (95% CI: 0.823-0.921), 0.862 (95% CI: 0.780-0.944), and 0.837 (95% CI: 0.767-0.908), respectively. Survival analysis revealed that the nomogram could effectively stratify patients for recurrence-free survival (Hazard Ratio: 4.329; 95% CI: 3.159-5.934; P < 0.001).

Conclusion: The radiomics-derived nomogram presented a promising tool for predicting PNI in GC and held significant prognostic implications.

Important Findings: The nomogram functioned as a non-invasive biomarker for determining the PNI status. The predictive performance of the nomogram surpassed that of the clinical model (P < 0.05). Furthermore, patients in the high-risk group stratified by the nomogram had a significantly shorter RFS (P < 0.05).