An individualized immune prognostic signature in nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Background: Immune-related characteristics can serve as reliable prognostic biomarkers in various cancers. Herein, we aimed to construct an individualized immune prognostic signature in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Methods: This study retrospectively included 455 NPC samples and 39 normal healthy nasopharyngeal tissue specimens. Samples from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) were obtained as discovery cohort to screen candidate prognostic immune-related gene pairs based on relative expression ordering of the genes. Quantitative real-time reverse transcription-PCR was used to detect the selected genes to construct an immune-related gene pair signature in training cohort, which comprised 118 clinical samples, and was then validated in validation cohort 1, comprising 92 clinical samples, and validation cohort 2, comprising 88 samples from GEO.

Results: We identified 26 immune-related gene pairs as prognostic candidates in discovery cohort. A prognostic immune signature comprising 11 immune gene pairs was constructed in training cohort. In validation cohort 1, the immune signature could significantly distinguish patients with high or low risk in terms of progression-free survival (PFS) (hazard ratio [HR] 2.66, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.17-6.02, P=0.015) and could serve as an independent prognostic factor for PFS in multivariate analysis (HR 2.66, 95 % CI 1.17-6.02, P=0.019). Similar results were obtained using validation cohort 2, in which PFS was significantly worse in high risk group than in low risk group (HR 3.02, 95 % CI 1.12-8.18, P=0.022).

Conclusions: The constructed immune signature showed promise for estimating prognosis in NPC. It has potential for translation into clinical practice after prospective validation.