Clinical and Molecular Variables Associated With Early Progression to Checkpoint Inhibitors in MSI-High Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: About one third of patients with deficient mismatch repair/microsatellite instability-high metastatic colorectal cancer (dMMR/MSI-H mCRC) experience primary resistance or early progression on immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI), while others benefit from exceptionally long-lasting responses. In this single-centre retrospective study, we aimed to identify variables associated with improved overall survival (OS) as well as early disease progression.

Methods: All dMMR/MSI-H mCRC patients treated with ICI between 2014 and 2022 were included. Baseline patient demographics, tumour characteristics as well response and outcome data were recorded. OS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Uni- and multivariate cox regression analysis was used to identify parameters associated with improved OS. Clinicopathological factors associated with early progression (≤ 12 months after treatment initiation) were assessed using uni- and multivariate logistic regression analysis.

Results: About 84 ICI-treated dMMR/MSI-H mCRC patients were included. Progressive disease occurred in 37 (44%) patients, but only in 11 (19%) patients with disease control at 12 months. Median OS was 80 months and improved outcome was associated with a lower neutrophile-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P = .004) and the presence of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) (P = .015). Early progression was associated with poor performance status (P = .036), a higher blood CRP level (P = .033) and absence of irAEs (P = .002).

Conclusion: Disease progression in ICI-treated dMMR/MSI-H mCRC rarely occurs in patients experiencing disease control for at least 12 months. Performance status, presence of immune-related adverse events, CRP levels, CEA levels and NLR can be helpful to identify those patients that may benefit from ICI treatment, guiding clinicians in therapeutic decisions.